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Sunday, December 19, 2010

First potential snowstorm fails, but many, many, more to come... Including a Christmas blizzard?!

So the first potential snowstorm was an absolute failure. The day after I put up my snow map all went dead on the storm, and all the models agreed the storm would form and sit way off the coast. But, believe it or not we will still get snow from the system, probably sometime between Tuesday and Thursday. The storm will pull just enough of its energy into Maine, that a backlashing storm will begin. Maine can see up to 10 inches, and locally a foot in some places, while the storm will lash a general 3-6 inches across the rest of Maine, and into Vermont, New Hampshire, and even parts of MA. I would not be surprised if we saw 1-3 inches all the way down to the tristate area, so look out for that as early as Tuesday evening, and potentially into early on Thursday morning. But we have much more important things to talk about and I'm running out of time.

The pattern is picture perfect... That is for a snow lover. We have an incredible, record breaking amount of moisture feeding from well west of Hawaii, all the way into the state of California and Nevada. This insane stream of moisture will continue to feed across the country with records breaking everywhere. Now here is where we come into play, from this moisture it is possible that we see 2-4 big storms along its path. The storms will stream right into the Mid Atlantic (some south of the mid atlantic, some north) and then bomb right off the coast. Now how do we know this? Well taking a look at just the satellite picture, clearly portrays the stream, and then looking at the models we see the first of these storms come... CHRISTMAS DAY!!!! We have the potential to see something that we haven't seen since 2002, and before that, 1969!!!! Now could this be just like the last storm where it looks like a significant blizzard and then ends up being nothing? Yes, it could be, but the chances are higher with this storm. Reason is because all the models are on this one, and its coming from the west, not gathering in the south, so it has to exit off the coast. So it is likely at this point we will see at least a decent storm in our area Christmas day, if not a potentially walloping storm on Christmas, so keep it here!

-Scott Pecoriello