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Thursday, June 24, 2010

It's been a while, but the severe weather is back... and at its worst?

Weather Forecast:
Intro : Could be my last update...
Part 1: Severe Weather...
Part 2: Tropics... becoming active

Intro:

Well there is a possibility that this will be my last weather blog update until the end of the summer or early fall since i do go to 7 weeks of sleep away camp... so enjoy...!

Part 1:

Well the severe weather is going to be extremely active across the northeast... during the severe weather season I only issue a level 4 two or three times maximum and today may be one of those days... for now though the area will remain at a high level 3, but that can quickly change... Here's today's map...



Level 1: Dark clouds, Downpours, Thunder, Breezy
Level 2: Dark clouds, Heavy downpours, Lightning and Thunder (some ground lightning), Winds between 30-50 mph, Penny- Quarter sized hail
Level 3: Dark clouds, Drenching downpours, Ground lightning, Winds between 40-70 mph, Isolated Tornadoes, Pin pong ball- tennis ball size Hail
Level 4: Pitch Black clouds, Blinding rains, Ground Lightning, Hurricane force winds, Tornadoes likely, Baseball- Softball+ size Hail, Severe Weather Outbreak!

Part 2:

The tropics are really starting to get active now... Right now we're focused on an area in the southern Caribbean just south of the islands like Cuba and Haiti... As of now this area is just a bunch of very active thunderstorms... why are we concerned then? well it is in a very Good environment for development... heading into an area of low shear and warm waters, the chances of the system developing are becoming higher... Also current computer models not only show this storm developing but also show it heading into the feared oil spill area... stay hear for more on this story...

-Scott Pecoriello

p.s. : Have a good summer!

Thursday, June 10, 2010

TORNADO'S

Weather Forecast:
Part 1: Surprise tornado's

Part 1:

We now have a tornado warning in connecticut for a storm cell moving south... The original forecast for today was for a couple of storms to flare up, but not like this... A line of storms, including the tornado cell storm, are moving toward the connecticut coast pretty quicklty and anywhere from Norwalk to New London could be endangered by this tornado... As of now Fairfiel county remains out of the tornado warning, but that could quickly change since these storms will make a very near miss... Be careful...

-Scott Pecoriello

Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Heavy rain today and tomorrow...

Weather Forecast:
Part 1: Heavy Rain...

Part 1:

Just a short update since it has been a little while... A rainstorm is already underway in the area and will continue to get a lot worse as the day continues and by night time very heavy rain is likely along the I-95 corridor... Some stronger winds are possible as well especially in heavier pockets of rain... Also in some of the heavier rain pockets thunder is possible... The rain should wind down by tomorrow for I-95 with remaining rain over portions of Maine... A couple of isolated thunderstorms may develop also tomorrow afternoon as a result of warmer air coming through the area, with the possibility that another area of moisture flares up... Here's the rainfall map to further explain who will get hit the hardest...



Hope you enjoyed...

-Scott Pecoriello

Sunday, June 6, 2010

Almost in the clear... Finally, the big oil spill update...

Weather Forecast:
Part 1: Severe Weather update...
Part 2: Oil Spill...

Part 1:

Well there are now areas that I can say are surely in the clear... These areas are anywhere from NH to Hartford, to NYC, to Philly, to D.C., and anywhere to the West of there; of course not too far West, because the Midwest is working on another developing mess that we won't get into right now... Let me tell you, certain areas really dodged a large bullet... For example, NYC had very severe storms just to the north and to the south... Meanwhile, Boston had damaging winds, and rain beyond imagination, which is still going on as I type... But enough of about the severe stuff, let's get to the even more important news, the oil spill...

Part 2:

The original plan for was for this update to be on Friday, and i was going to tell you all the bad news about the oil spill. Instead, I now Have both good news, bad news, and just about every kind of news in between about this horrific man made disaster. So, on Friday I was going to show everyone the most terrifying, depressing, almost mind changing video that i have seen, and it really made me think about the mess we have got ourselves into this time, and how it really seems impossible to fix. Here's the video...:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pE-1G_476nA&feature=player_embedded

If that doesn't scare you then your crazy, because the forecast calls for oil washing up all the way across the Atlantic ocean in Europe by time we reach day 200 of this oil spill, and possibly sooner.
What are the chances that the oil spill will end up on your beaches? And when will it happen? Well, Accuweather.com's meteorologist Henry Margusity takes a look at the probability of having oil wash up on your beaches...:

http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/news/story/32336/whats-the-probability-of-oil-o.asp

So now we've covered some of our bad news, but let's get to the good news and the in between news. I'll start by saying the oil cap was a success!!!! After having some trouble sawing through the pipe which the oil was leaking out of, they finally were able to place a cap over the pipe and BP says the result was very pleasing. Meanwhile, the cap is only capturing 25% of the leaking oil... So why is this? I mean there is a cap over this spill, shouldn't there be no oil leaking out at all? Well, the caps have 4 "vents" around its perimeter. Since there is so much pressure at a mile under water, the "vents" allow small amounts of water to enter the cap so that the whole thing doesn't burst and ruin the project. The next step, BP hopes, is that they slowly close the vents as the cap gets used to the pressure. Once the vents are capped they hope to capture close to 90% of the oil, but how easy is that? Well I'll tell you right now, it's not easy. And until they do it, there is still 75% of the oil from that pipe leaking. Although BP took it as a success, America sure didn't and it doesn't end there.



Both the model prediction of where the oil will go next, and Margusity's prediction of where the oil will go next, could be completely out of line when hurricane season is introduced into all of this. Right now we can't worry too much about this, because there are currently no tropical developments, but its something to watch. So to narrow everything down: BP's, "cap plan" was a complete success, but hasn't really done too much, If the oil isn't stopped soon, it may make its way around to the east coast, and eventually to Europe before not too long, and last but not least, Obama and BP are still not doing enough (at least in my opinion). But before we go, please take a good look at the following and take it into consideration:

1. Matter of Trust
As a former dog groomer who saw bags of dog hair being thrown away everyday wondering if there was ANYTHING that could be done to use it, here it is. The folks at Matter of Trust take trimmed hair from salons, pet grooming shops, even individuals, stuff it in to used nylons and use it to soak up oil. Go to your local hair salon, grooming shop, farm, or anywhere you can think of and ask if they would donate to the program. They are also looking for used nylons, even with snags, so get in to your drawers and send them off. This is a perfect way to use discarded items to make a difference.

2. Suncoast Sea Bird Sanctuary

According to their website they are the largest non-profit wild bird hospital in the United States and admits up to 8,000 birds annually. As they prepare for the effects on the Florida coastline they are in need of linens, kennels, towels, sheets, dawn detergent, paper towels, bottled water and Gatorade.You can also donate money directly to the website.

3. Audubon. Large societies like the Audubon are great resources to collect a high number of volunteers and funds in order to help the entire coastline. Their website notes that they are “currently marshaling volunteer resources, leading restoration for Louisiana coastal resources for the long term, and working for safer energy solutions”.

4.Coalition to Restore Coastal Louisiana Here is a website that gives information for those who are pre-veterinary students, vet technicians, and anyone with hazardous material training that would be able to volunteer. The people who show up on scene need resources for lodging, food, and supplies so if you cannot donate your time you can donate money online.

Please do not attempt to clean up oil or handle wild animals without training and proper equipment. If you see an oiled animal call 1-866-557-1401. There are many different resources for you to help so do not risk doing it without support of one of these, or any other organizations.

-Special thanks to "the mindful consumer" for the helpful tips on the oil spill help!



-Scott Pecoriello

Too much to talk about: SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK (the first level 4 of the year in the northeast)...

Weather Forecast:
Part 1: SEVERE WEATHER...
Part 2: Oil talk may have to wait...
Part 3: A very important Westport Weather Update...

Part 1:

I wasn't exactly "planning" on this, but it needs to happen... There is the potential for a real severe weather outbreak right in the tri-state area, home to millions of people... Here is your updated severe weather map, one that may really surprise you...



Level 1: Dark clouds, Downpours, Thunder, Breezy
Level 2: Dark clouds, Heavy downpours, Lightning and Thunder (some ground lightning), Winds between 30-50 mph, Penny- Quarter sized hail
Level 3: Dark clouds, Drenching downpours, Ground lightning, Winds between 40-70 mph, Isolated Tornadoes, Pin pong ball- tennis ball size Hail
Level 4: Pitch Black clouds, Blinding rains, Ground Lightning, Hurricane force winds, Tornadoes likely, Baseball- Softball+ size Hail, Severe Weather Outbreak!

So what exactly is happening? Well a cold front is expected to move through the area later tonight and tomorrow, but ahead of that, the air is extremely humid and unstable, making the atmosphere perfect for tornado, and strong to severe development... In fact, NOAA has just issued a moderate risk of tornado's for the "Level 4" area, and the Weather Channel has issued a 50% chance of tornado's in the "Level 4" area... Doctor Greg Forbes from the weather channel now says, an addition 20-24 tornado's are possible throughout the rest of the day with the most likely in the "Level 4" area... This isn't just any outbreak though... It's the first of the year in the northeast, and its home to well over 20 million people!!!! I can't give exact times on when these storms will hit, but i can say they are moving through PA, and Upstate NY at this time, and are likely to strengthen and hit sometime between 12 and 4 pm, we'll have to watch this... Keep in mind thought these storms are very scattered, so you may luck out and escape it, even in the "Level 4" area...

Part 2:

Sadly, due to the whole severe weather outbreak, i still don't have the time i need to update on the oil spill, so it may have to wait until later this afternoon or tomorrow... But for now i can tell you, it is better news than before!!!!

Part 3:

WOW do we have a hell of a day on the way... We are in the level 4 area which means the following things are possible, but will be very scattered so don't have a panic attack quite yet... : Level 4: Pitch Black clouds, Blinding rains, Ground Lightning, Hurricane force winds, Tornadoes likely, Baseball- Softball+ size Hail, Severe Weather Outbreak! It will be a mess today... There is actually a 50% chance of sighting a tornado today in our area... There is a high probability of having either a tornado warning or watch issued for the area, we may even hear alarms go off later in the day due to the severe weather... These lines of storms already have a history of producing plenty of severe weather, and are expected to only get stronger... I can't give exact times for these storms, since they are so scattered, but i can say i suggest staying inside between 12:45 and 4:00 PM...

-Scott Pecoriello

Friday, June 4, 2010

Severe weather map for saturday...

Weather forecast:
Part 1: Severe weather tomorrow...
Part 2: All about the oil spill tomorrow...

Part 1:

A lot is going on today, so just a severe weather map... enjoy!



Level 1: Dark clouds, Downpours, Thunder, Breezy
Level 2: Dark clouds, Heavy downpours, Lightning and Thunder (some ground lightning), Winds between 30-50 mph, Penny- Quarter sized hail
Level 3: Dark clouds, Drenching downpours, Ground lightning, Winds between 40-70 mph, Isolated Tornadoes, Pin pong ball- tennis ball size Hail
Level 4: Pitch Black clouds, Blinding rains, Ground Lightning, Hurricane force winds, Tornadoes likely, Baseball- Softball+ size Hail, Severe Weather Outbreak!

Part 2:

Get ready for a long update all about the oil spill tomorrow!!!!

Thursday, June 3, 2010

OIL SPILL...

Just wanted to let everyone know that tomorrow I will likely post a major update on the Gulf Oil Spill... If not tomorrow than on Saturday... Let me tell you though... This will not be good news...

-Scott Pecoriello

Forecast right on target...

Very strong storms are on there way from Virginia to Southern Maine and East... The forecast form yesterday is right on target... In fact the storms look to be even worse than originally expected, so i have decided to make another map... Enjoy!!!!



Level 1: Dark clouds, Downpours, Thunder, Breezy
Level 2: Dark clouds, Heavy downpours, Lightning and Thunder (some ground lightning), Winds between 30-50 mph, Penny- Quarter sized hail
Level 3: Dark clouds, Drenching downpours, Ground lightning, Winds between 40-70 mph, Isolated Tornadoes, Pin pong ball- tennis ball size Hail
Level 4: Pitch Black clouds, Blinding rains, Ground Lightning, Hurricane force winds, Tornadoes likely, Baseball- Softball+ size Hail, Severe Weather Outbreak!

By the way, this area of severe weather includes westport... Westport is classified at a level 3 today!!!!

-Scott Pecoriello

Wednesday, June 2, 2010

Another batch of severe weather in store for tomorrow...

Weather forecast:
Part 1: Severe weather tomorrow...
Part 2: Tropics...

Part 1:

Well today will be a quicker update, but i think i will be able to fit everything in... So currently in the Northeast it is sunny and warm, but there are lots of storms of to the west, and off toward the southwest, and south. It seems the storms off to the west though, will be the ones to affect us... If the storms in the west were to stay together, the nasty weather would probably take place in the evening and overnight hours, but instead we will have to wait for a second batch to re- develope, and that wont happen until later tomorrow... A lot of these storms will probably be very similar to the nasty storms we had yesterday, and maybe even worse... Here's the severe storm map for the rest of tonight and tomorrow...



Level 1: Dark clouds, Downpours, Thunder, Breezy
Level 2: Dark clouds, Heavy downpours, Lightning and Thunder (some ground lightning), Winds between 30-50 mph, Penny- Quarter sized hail
Level 3: Dark clouds, Drenching downpours, Ground lightning, Winds between 40-70 mph, Isolated Tornadoes, Pin pong ball- tennis ball size Hail
Level 4: Pitch Black clouds, Blinding rains, Ground Lightning, Hurricane force winds, Tornadoes likely, Baseball- Softball+ size Hail, Severe Weather Outbreak!

Part 2:

Tropical Update


-Scott Pecoriello

Tuesday, June 1, 2010

WARNING FOR WESTPORT CT...

The first batch of pretty insane storms has come through, but we are about to be slammed by batch 2 which will either just miss us, or be worse than batch 1... Lots of heavy, heavy, rain will acompany this storm with strong winds, lots of thunder and lightning, and maybe some small hail... I suggest staying inside between the hours of 3:50 and 4:20, which is when the storm would hit... Be careful...

-Scott Pecoriello