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Saturday, January 30, 2010

Major Mid-Atlantic Snowstorm... More snow and storms in your future...

Hey everyone, i think for the most part my snow total predictions were pretty accurate. Before i go on about the current major winter storm going on in the mid- Atlantic region, i would like to adress something that happened on thursday.... and it was crazy.

So, the prediction for SW connecticut for thursday was a chance of a quick rain show with the front that was passing through. Now this prediction was published the wednsday, of the thursday storm. So, 7:00 Thursday morning there were some extremely light snow flurries beginning to fall... barely visible. It was nice to see and i knew that late wednsday night they updated it to some rain or snow showers developing. so i knew there was a chance so i wasnt shocked... yet. by around 8:00 Am it was snowing heavy with winds gusting to 40 mph... COMPLETELY UN-EXPEXTED. there was close to an inch on the ground by 8:30... as the day progressed there was no sign of it stopping. by 10:00 there was close to 3 inches. The flakes were switching between big and small and it was crazyyy... by around 1:00 PM the snow was lightening up just a little bit and there was nearly 4 inches of snow on the ground. Finally by around 1:30 there was no snow and sunny skies. By 2:30 it was getting cloudy again... and this is the strange part, even though the rest was pretty strange already. By 4:00 PM the was a crazy 3 minute blizzard winds must have been close to 50 mph and the snow was coming down lik crazy. FOR 3 MINUTES!!! it added a half an inch at least. So... just a quick story i had to share since the models were so wrong.


OK... now for the weather going on.... The storm is currently exiting off the Carolina coast. Once again, the models brought the storm too far to the south, so instead of DC getting an inch like originally predicted... they got 5 inches like i predicted or at least they have close to three already and its still coming down hard and expected to do so for the next couple of hours at least. Philly even in on the action!!! maybe an inch or less... for NYC i still thing you'll see some flakes... north of there i see nothing.


Long Range Forecast:


Tuesday/Wednsday... 2nd/3rd: Storm comes up the gulf of mexico and cuts through to the east coast bring rain to Texas, LA, and most of the south including MS, AL, GE, and the carolinas. As for snow... light snow looks possible across TN, SW KY... Virginia looks like it has another threat for a heavy snow, and maybe even some ice across Nothern NC. Again, it looks like a dome of High pressure will block any snow from getting further north then maybe DC. and snow will be light around there. Florida looks like it will get some heavy rain once again with maybe some severe weather included, especially central FL.

Thursday-Wednsday... 4th-10th!: Now we get into some crazy stuff. In some ways this storm will be similiar to the 2nd/3rd storm but different. The storm will come from the same place but about 5x stronger. The southern states will be slammed by a flooding and cripling rain storm. Severe weather looks likely too. Northern FL looks to get the worst with unbelievebal rain and severe weather. The difference with this storm is it will sit in the gulf and slowly move across FL and just follow the coastline up and then it shows around 100-200 miles off the coast of Long island and Nantucket. Looks like just a major snowstorm for all the areas that got hit this weekend except OK, plus this storm will turn up north and slam PA, SE NY, CT, MA, parts of VT and NH, and ME. some areas look like they will see a foot to two feet of heavy snow. It will be a blizzard for some. The scarey part, or for me exciting, is that the models have been very consistent on this storm. So we shall see.

Friday... 12th: looks like a storm will come out of TX and be a major rainstorm to the south some ice and snow on the northern edge... but it looks too far away to tell what happens.



Thats it for now check back later for more!!!


... current snowstorm slamming the Mid-Atlantic!!!!!!!!!

Wednesday, January 27, 2010

Interesting weather including cold and snow

hey everyone, sorry i haven't updated in a while, i want to start off today with talking about a pretty big snowstorm coming across the west and now into texas, and will begin to affect a lot of the south and mid atlantic states.

Snow total predictions:


Oklahoma city: 8.5 inches
Ardmore : 0.20 inches of ice/ 0.75 inches of snow
Tulsa : 7.8 inches
Little rock : 1.75 inches
Memphis : 0.15 inches of ice/ 2.5 inches of snow
Tupelo : Little or no Ice accumulation
Huntsville : 0.10 inches of ice/ 0.10 inches of snow
Nashville : 7.5 inches
Chatsworth : 0.20 inches of ice/ 2.5 inches of snow
Knoxville : 4.5 inches
Bakersville : 9 inches
Easely : 1.8 inches
Witchita : 5.5 inches
Topeka : 1.5 inches
Springfield : 6.6 inches
Louisville : 0.10 inches of ice/ 0.5 inches of snow
Roanoke : 6.8 inches
Fayetteville : 2.0 inches
Richmond : 8.3 inches
DC : 5.7 inches
Baltimorre : 5.0 inches
Philadelphia : 1.2 inches
NYC : 0.5

Anywhere to the south of these areas will likely see heavy rain and some wind... maybe some severe weather... In fact FL will have to be a place to watch for some severe thunderstorms which will really cool some places down... even southern FL maybe see 60's by sunday and then it maybe slowly get back to normal.

Also after this storm it will get cold everywhere... The major cities of the North East will likely begin to see high temps in the 20's and lows actually in the single digits and for a lot of the northern half of the country we'll see lows in the single digits and below zero, even HIGHS in the single digits and below zero!!!!

Sunday, January 24, 2010

Fridays potential eastern Snowstorm

Hey everyone... i just wanted to briefly discuss the potiental for an eastern snowstorm on friday. It looks to me that there will be a good storm coming across the eastern half of the county from thursday to probably saturday depending on how far east or west you are. The image below shows the storm really dropping a good foot of snow of much of the Kentucky area. it also shows some serious as around memphis. It seems like the storm is going to move eastward and as of now it shows the storm going south of NYC and Boston... It does show NYC getting clipped by the storm though. WV northern VA and southern PA look to be hit pretty good by this storm too. Maryland and northern DE look to be hit also. this is still a long time away. There is still the possibility that the storm doesn't come together... or, what i hope to happen, the storm comes further north and NYC, Hartford, and Boston can get in on the action... well that's it for now... please check the long range forecast and be sure to leave a comment or questions.


LONG RANGE FORECAST:


Wed. Feb. 3rd... Potential east coast storm... looks too far out to sea... none the less, something to watch. Brings colder air behind

Sat. Feb. 6th... Potential east coast storm... Looks too far out to sea, but not as far as the one on the 3rd... something to watch. Brings colder air behind.

Mon. Feb. 8th... Potential east coast storm... Looks to far to the south... i don't think the south will get hit with snow though, the freezing line will be too far north.

Saturday, January 23, 2010

Just a quick post for now...

It looks like there is a chance for a coastal storm now for friday into Saturday for the east coast. North and west of DC and even DC it's self should watch out for some kind of frozen precip. This storm has the potential to be a big one, but could also be another dissapointment for the east.

I also want to say a lot of models are going into a December pattern... Meaning a lot of snowstorms for the eastern and mid sections of the country.

Friday, January 22, 2010

Starting a new blog section!!!!!!

hey everyone, im starting a new blog section thats going to be all about possibilities of the next storms and as much details as possible. I'll even try to put out a range that goes as far as about a month ahead of time. so i figured i'd start it today!!!!

Jan. 23, Affecting: Midwest, Precip: looks like it should be snow in areas North and west of minneapolis and all the way to the Northeast of minneapolis. South of there it looks like Some ice or mix to start and then changing to a little bit of rain and ending as snow. I think minneapolis is not going to get much in the way of snow, but could see 1-3 inches... maybe 2-4... windy too. Chicago, looks like heavy rain to some ice and ending as a little snow. maybe an inch or two. looks like even detriot may see some snow or flurries at the end of the storm... partially lake enhanced. this storm will bring winter back!!! This storm will exit the Midwest by the 26th at the latest.

Jan. 24, Affecting: Northeast, Precip: looks like it should be all rain for most areas and then by the end of storm we will have some sort of snow... partially from the storm and partially from the lakes. anyway it won't be a lot... and it will have trouble getting past the appalacian mountains, so i don't think the major cities should be affected. Anyway heavy rain will slam the area someone along the coast between the mid-Atlantic and Northeast will get around 3 or 4 inches of rain... maybe 5. There will be wind with this storm. behind it there will be muchhhh colder weather. This is the same storm that hit the Midwest. It will exit by the 26th.

Jan. 24, affecting: South, Precip: Rain... should be heavy...i could see a severe outbreak across the south into the FL area with wind, heavy rain, and hail... i can't tell if we will see tornadoes but it is a possibility. For the florida area sunday monday and tuesday will be harsh. This is where some of the worst severe weather may take place. The will be flooding along with this. So in orlando, tampa, WEST PALM BEACH, and Miami, we could see the worst. rain could reach 3 inches or more. and the bands of rain should become worse as the storm exits off the florida east coast.

Now for the long range stuff::::


29th - 31st there will be a southern storm with rain around the coastal region, Dallas, Baton rouge, New orleans, pensicola and most of Florida will see another rain event. Now where it gets interesting is TN, NC even northwestern SC and extreme northern sections of MI, AL, and GE, because it looks like some heavy ice and YES heavy wet snow is possible. don't get too excited because this could change.

1st - 4th there will be a similiar storm except more moisture and the rain snow line will be further to the north. The only place to the south that may get snow is TN and it will change over to rain eventually. Now, this may be a different story for the Northeast. looks like a mix bag for the big cities, but mostly rain for DC, and Baltimore, but for Philly NYC and Boston it will be some light snow to a mix. so something to watch.

4th - 6th shows a MONSTER STORM... only one model is on this right now but i would like to talk about anyway even though the chance of it happening is very slim. A monster rainstorm will slame the south with some wind and flooding. The storm will then begin to come up the east coast and looks like a dream. It shows PA: 2 1/2 FT. of snow! and WV: some spots up to 3 feet of snow and in both place winds gusting to 55 mph!!!! The low will be center dead on Virginia and winds will be gusting at times to 70 or more with 5+ inches of rain and major flooding and beach issues all along the east coast. with the exception of NYC and north which shows 4 FT. of snow and 60 mph winds!!!!!! Now this is the one city that gets barried under the snow... where u can't see roof tops!!!!!..... yes i'm talking about BOSTON. it show at least 5 FT. of snow Looks like more though.


That's all i have for now more updates later!

Thursday, January 21, 2010

On to new storms!!!


hey everyone! Just wanted to do a quick update...

So i have mentioned a few times winter is going to make a return over the country. It looks like not just the northern half of the country, but it seems the south too. Northern texas could get into the 30's and 40's by next week, and central and southern Texas will get into the upper 50's 60's and if you're lucky some areas will reach the 70's in southern texas. across LA, MS, AL and GA we'll likely see temps into the 40's, in the northern spots, and closer to the coast we'll find 50's and upper 60's. Now as for FL, it looks like northern FL will see some really cold temperatures, into the 50's across central FL we'll see some 60's and you'll reach upper 60's and lower 70's across FL next week. As far as snow goes!!!! i think we may start to see some snow storm possibilities in the texas panhandle and TN, and even Birmingham and Atlanta. Now if we did see any chances for snow it would have to be after at least wednsday, so the temps could cool down. well thats it for now. ill have a lot of information tomorrow on the upcoming storms and details!

Thursday Update

Hey everyone, I don't have much time today so i'm going to make it quick.

Northeast:
Big dissapointment for those of you in southern New England because you're now about to miss your second storm. Especially in SW, CT because they got no snow at all last storm and now are about to have no snow at all this storm. actually to narrow it down its really southern fairfield county. Snow just doesnt like me. Anyway can't forget the others. Southern PA. snow... anywhere from 2-6 inches. But i think the higher you go in elevation the worse it gets (more snow!). I think maryland and west virginia may get in on some of the action aswell. South of there rain.

Midwest:
Quiet for now. The plains should get a blizzard sometime next week. I don't think it will be a lot of snow... just a lot wind. I could see some places getting a foot, but no more than that. anyway, it should be getting back to winter in a lot of areas, especially around there. even chicago may get some snow and wind out of this one

South:
We'll have some very large storms rolling in through tonight and tomorrow, especially FL and areas to the east and south. I think another storm will approche the area this weekend in texas and should reach the east coast by the beginning of next week with lots of rain, and for some, storms. Luckily, i do think we will return to winter even in the south. Its been in the 50's 60's 70's and even some 80's in areas well south. That should change though. I think we will start to see, 60's 50's 40's and 30's in areas to the north.

West:
Well there has been just so much rain and wind and snow, i really don't know what to say since there's too much to talk about. I think this stormy pattern will continue... but not this intense. Some areas will see 1 to 2 feet.... of rain!!!! which is crazy. you don't see feet of rain that often. and the snow could certainly but upwards of 5 feet! really just unbelievable stuff.

So for everyone, we should see cold and snow returning all across the United states by the beginning of feb. for some even sooner then that. That's it for now! another update tomorrow!

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Confusion of snowstorm in the Mid-Atlantic


hey everyone, today i could't tell if i was dissapointed or excited because the models are showing no snow right now, even though i've been hearing a lot of meteorologists saying the models are bringing the snow to far to the south and it will be about 100 to 150 miles north of where the models are currently putting it. I still think Hartford will get at least an inch and my area, SW CT, will see somewhere between 2 and 4 inches, hopefully more, but as of now... no. NYC, probably a similiar forecast... somewhere between 3 and 5 inches i guess maybe more, maybe less. I still think just to the north and west of Philly will be the targeted zone, even though i have lowered my numbers to some extent now. i believe anywhere between 4 and 8 inches will fall in that area, and i Philly itself, i can see a 4-6 inch range. Again maybe slightly more or less. Now south of there, sadly, i think i've given up on the real snow. DC and Baltimore maybe 1-2 very slushy inches of snow. The mountains though may see up to 4 or 5 inches. South of there no more then maybe some sleet... but mostly rain. Since i don't have much time today i may do another update tonight!

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Snowstorm Potential Shifts North? Cold trend coming again for the US... More snow in the Future!


Hey everyone! It looks to me that the snowstorm is now shifting to the north. Now before CT, NY, MA, VT, NH, and Maine get excited, we have to discuss the setup first.
The Gfs model today shows snow at least falling all the way to Hartford and maybe a couple of flurries just south of Boston. It shows the main accumulating snow to be south of Hartford. Now keep in mind this is just one model. I've also seen cases where NYC doesn't even see snow flurries and areas like Philly see some snow, but not a lot. So my current thoughts are that the models are going to continue to shift the storm northward and i do think that Hartford maybe get anywhere between 1-4 and Boston Maybe 1-2 or less. I think this will be a decent snowstorm for NYC, and they could see maybe 3-5 maybe even up to a half a foot. Now into Philly and Just north and west of there, i believe someone is going to pick up 8 inches, maybe 10. For DC and Baltimore i don't know about this one. Temps will still be above freezing and if you're lucky in the upper 30's, but i think temps will be in the lower 40's. So i think there may be a mix, hopefully snow for the most part, but i definetly see rain mixing in which will reduce the snow totals. I still think that Baltimore and DC will get anywhere from 2-4 inches and maybe 5 (especially in the higher elevations). I do not want to leave out areas further to the west though. I see a swath of snow across the state college area and just north and west of there, through Philly where there will be at least 6 inches of snow! Areas like Pittsburgh will likely see 2-4 maybe 3-6 the further east you go of Pittsbugh.
Now into Next week and the week after! It looks that finally the thaw will move away!!!! which meanssss.... more snow!!! but before that, sadly, we have to get through a rainstorm... and quite a big one. I think there will be some snow in the midwest, but north of Chicago. Milwaukee and Duluth will see probably between 1 and 4 inches and probably a good amount of wind with it. The low will cut across the Great lakes and it looks like a hell of amount of rain and wind will slam the east coast from FL to ME and everywhere inbetween. Even ME won't see snow out of this one.
Now after that is when we find the really good stuff. And i am getting excited about it now! It looks like the freezing line will once again though reach FL. and yes, i see Snow down south!!! so for all of you in Alabama and Georgia Even Mississippi and LA, there's a chance of snow! I also see a couple major east coast snowstorms into early Feburary! Thats all for now! i may or may not have another update tonight depending on if there is any major changes or not

Snowstorm Potential shifts North

Snowstorms Potential shifts north?

Monday, January 18, 2010

Northeast and Mid-Atlantic have another snowstorm potential


Northeast/ Mid-Atlantic:

The storm that brought nearly a foot of snow to mass. and parts of NH and VT has finally exited and is off to canada.
I do see a small clipper system that should come across some of the area tomorrow and with still somewhat mild conditions. NYC should see some snowflakes in the morning quickly changes to a couple of sprinkles and rainshowers. North of there we could see some snowshowers even though i think hartford and boston will switch to a light mix for the late morning hours and someone in the NY, VT, NH, area will pick up a quick 1-3 inches at the most. Now on to the more exciting stuff!
I do see a lot of the models now picking up on a snowstorm late thursday into friday. I would start to get excited in areas like DC, Baltimore and Philly, but north of there it will be a close call. I can see in those areas we could see anywhere from 3-6 maybe 8 inches of snow! It's weird to think that because of the current thaw.
Actually this small clipper should cool down temperatures nicely so instead of being in the 50's across Dc and Baltimore and even Philly, and seeing temp's in the upper 40's around NYC and boston, we should look for mid to upper 30's across NYC and Boston and lower 40's and maybe some upper 30's (especially in the higher elevations) across DC, Baltimore and Philly. SO all the more reason for a chance of snow.
In areas like NYC, Hartford and Boston, i wouldn't give up on this storm just yet. The storm right now slamming California with heavy rain, gusty winds, and mountain snow could still sneek through the country and come off the coast slightly more to the north then expected. So we shall see over the next couple of days what should happen. And for those of you that are afraid winter is over... well its not!!! and some models are already beginning to show a cold start to our Feburary which would be nice for the snow lovers like me. I should have another post comming up sometime after 3:00 PM tomorrow.