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Sunday, April 25, 2010

Severe weather takes its first shot at the northeast... New blog set up...

Weather Forecast:
Part 1: First severe weather of the year
Part 2: More on active volcano(s)
Part 3: RAIN...
Part 4: Westport Weather Update...

Part 1:

Those of you from Pittsburgh to State College, all the way to Philly and Dover, and back toward DC and Baltimore, you've been pretty lucky today with no real heavy rain... Well it looks like your luck just ran out... According to numerous models, and the National Weather service, severe weather is on the way!!!! So whats going on? When is it coming? Heavy thunderstorms have already affected North Western Indiana, Southern Michigan, and parts of Northern Ohio... These thunderstorms contain large hail, heavy rain, local wind damage, and isolated tornado's!!!! Right now these thunderstorms are spinning around a large counter-clockwise low pressure system right on the border line of Illinois and Indiana... As the thunderstorms spin around in that counter-clockwise spin, they should begin to extend right into our region... So this is a warning for areas from PA to southern NJ and right back down to Virginia and south and west... North of Philly though, it should be just a heavy rain, due to much more stable air and cooler temperatures... So it looks like NYC, Boston, Albany, and north will get lucky on this one... So just a recap, look for thunderstorms beginning to pop up by about 3 or 4 PM... It is likely that the thunderstorms will be severe and may produce large hail, strong and possibly damaging winds, heavy rain, and even isolated tornadoes... So watch out if you're included in any of these areas, or the surrounding ones...

Part 2:

Not too much new information on the active volcano's except for some new lava flow off eyjafjallajokull, which scientists believe is nothing out of the normal, and shouldn't mean anything... As of 2 hours ago, scientist are still confident that Katla will erupt... Now to some of the good news... European aviation's are finally doing something, and coming up with a plan to re-route the planes in the case that the volcano does erupt... But Europe, being a popular tourist destination, has flights coming in and out of almost every country in the world... So the next step needs to be other countries taking action in re-routing there flights and coming up with an aviation plan... Considering Katla is nearly 100x stronger than eyjafjallajokull, the ash cloud which would affect aviation may spread around further than just Europe which really makes it an important move to come up with an aviation plan... That's it from here for now, I'll keep you updated with more on the volcano...

Part 3:

RAIN... Well its pretty obvious that very few people like the rain, but we should get used to it, because it seems like it will be around for at least the early half of the week... So lets get to the details... The whole storm has come earlier then expected... Much earlier... The first batch of rain came last night and very early this morning for most people south of Boston and Albany... So now instead of the second batch being tomorrow, it will be tonight with the break in the rain today... Also tomorrow it seems a third batch might come through later in the afternoon lasting into early Tuesday... So look for a general total in the rain in the 2-4 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts the further south you go, when you run into some of the thunderstorms... So get used to the rain, because it may be here for a while...

Part 4:

As mentioned in part 3, everything has been shifted up, which works out nicely because it means not a lot of rain for the afternoon... The first batch of rain moved in last night, and ended early this morning, the next step is this 5-8 hour pause in the rain which is currently taking place and should last until around 8 PM with some spotty showers earlier on... After 8 PM, look for a moderate to heavy rain lasting until early tomorrow morning... This is batch 2 of the rain... Then we may have a 3-5 hour pause before batch 3 moves in around 10 or 11 AM tomorrow morning, which will last until Tuesday morning before finally clearing out!!!! Wednesday afternoon look for climbing temperatures and clearing skies...

-Scott Pecoriello