Part 1: Models get interesting
Part 2: Is spring in sight?
Part 3: Westport Weather...
Part 1:
Well i was looking through some of the model runs and the latest GFS off the Penn state e-Wall site, a great site, was showing 3-5 inches of snow from the eastern sections of NJ and NE sections of NJ through NE PA and North and East of there... It also shows NYC and Hartford in that 3-5 inch range... As for Providence it shows about an inch of precipitation which amounts to 10 inches of snow but rain will likely be a part of it so I'd say 4-6 inches are what the model is showing and for Boston i see 1.25 inches of liquid so that's about a foot or so of snow but again rain will be a pretty large factor so this model shows more like 5-7 inches... Before everyone gets excited know this is one extreme even though models seem to be slowly going to this solution... Another model called the WRF shows a lot of dry air mixing in and no precipitation for a lot of people so we will have to see, but i thought i should let you know that the trend may be changing even though i still stand by my current snowfall totals from last update but that may change so keep it tuned right here for more...
GFS model from Penn state e-Wall... Try to focus on the last box, that is the total precip...
Part 2:
Spring...
One of the biggest questions that have been coming up a lot lately is "How about spring?"... "Where is spring"... "Is it even close?"... Well i have some good news and some bad news about spring... I will start with the good news which is after this Wednesday storm in the Northeast we will find temperatures reaching 50 or close to 50 along the I-95 corridor and north of there a lot of Mid to Upper 40's will show up... So this means spring is coming right... This means this is it right?... WRONG... Sadly this seems to be another one of Springs tricks, but may be a sign that it is on its way... After this Warm up it seems temperatures may get pretty cold again... More Updates on spring coming up through this week and into Next so stay tuned!!!!....
Part 3:
I hope you are having a great evening across Westport!!!! It seems, as i mention in part one, that we may have the storm take that snowier path like we discussed in my last update but it still looks like it is a bit far fetched... But i will tell you what the models are doing... The latest GFS shows about 3-5 inches of snow from this storm and some of the other models are showing 2-4 inches and 1-3 inches so there seems to be a trend starting of models showing more accumulations... This may mean our storm will end up being, well, snowier! I still am sticking with my forecast of a coating to 2 inches because this may be another glitch with the models and by tomorrow it could be showing not much snow... So no immediate changes but something to put in the back of your mind for Tuesday night into Wednesday. If you haven't already i would take a look at Part 2 of this blog because I'm sure you would all be interested to hear about when spring is finally coming, so be sure to check it out!!!! That's it for now, be sure to check back soon, and as always i will be sure to keep you updated on the WILD WEATHER!!!!...
Picture of Westport, CT
-Scott Pecoriello
