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Thursday, March 18, 2010

I guess i just have to give up... What ever happened to "the 17th storm"????.... Another crippling storm?... And yes, finally the pictures...

Part 1: My exaggeration over winter... too much?
Part 2: What ever happened to my major 17th snowstorm?
Part 3: Another crippling storm?
Part 4: Spring fever!!!!....
Part 5: Westport Weather...
Part 6: The Pictures from a very destructive weekend storm...

Part 1:

Well.... You may have noticed i went a little crazy the other day over "winters comeback"... Was it too much? Well I'll tell you one thing for sure, the models are changing constantly, and that is something that you should certainly know! What was being shown this past week, and what is being shown today, are two very different solutions... Yesterday the models showed a major cold front coming through, with highs back into the 30's and 40's for the Northeast... It showed just a basic straight line of cold air dipping fairly far south and moving eastward at a quick rate... Now today what happened, which is totally understandable, is that the cold air took a dive so far south before coming east, the cold front actually ended up splitting so that there was a pocket of cold air down to the south, cool air in between, and cold air again well north... Then it showed all of this moving east into our neck of the woods and joining back together before moving off the coast, and giving us 2-3 days of "cold air" and then after that anywhere from 1-2 weeks of "cool air"... Now what in my case defines "cool" and "cold"? Well "cool" meaning temperatures in the mid 40's to mid 50's, and "cold" meaning temperatures in the upper 30's to around 43 or 44 degrees... So let's get into even more detail with this... It seems Monday and Tuesday will be the nastiest of the week, but i don't want to get into how bad it may be just yet (for more on this, go to Part 3). The storm will pass through and again, there will be a pocket of colder air south of NYC and Philadelphia where at this point it seems some kind of frozen precipitation could fall. To the north of this pocket it will be a cool chilly rain with temperatures rapidly dropping throughout most of Monday. By time we get to Tuesday, areas south of I-80 will likely see upper 40's and some lower 50's, and north of I-80 will generally be in the 40's... Now my words are by all means not set in stone... The models may go back to a colder solution, or may show no cold air at all with this... As of now, neither of these solutions are very likely. So Monday, Tuesday, and even Wednesday will feel cold for a lot of you, especially with a lot of wind and clouds around. No one has yet shown any sign of snow on the back of this storm, but the models are consistently showing it. Now chances stand as shown here for the following cities to get some kind of winter precipitation on the back side of this storm late Tuesday. DC: 25%, Baltimore: 30%, Pittsburgh: 65%, Buffalo: 50%, Albany: 55%, Philadelphia: 40%, NYC: 50%, Hartford: 55%, Boston: 45%, Portland: 45%, Caribou: 70%... So you can see the likely hood of all of these cities aren't far from 50% which shows how much uncertainty there is at this point. Bottom line is that there will be a shot of some kind of cold air coming, whether or not it is really cold or not very cold there is some cold coming... Also the likely hood of any snow at this point is fairly uncertain... Lastly, i hate to brake it to myself and all the snow lovers, but i believe this may be the very last chance of snow or cold for this very crazy winter of 2010...

Part 2:

Well i was asked a question today, and i was very frustrated with it, because i couldn't even answer it on the spot and i partially forgot about it... And that question is, "WHAT EVER HAPPENED TO THIS BIG 17TH STORM?!?!" ... Well i did my research, and looked back at all the models, to find that there were two solutions to what happened... One solution is that this giant 13th mini hurricane was really the 17th storm and didn't pack enough cold air with it... And the other is that the 13th storm wasn't really the 17th storm, and it was just so powerful that it pretty much blocked it out completely... Now honestly, both these answers could be completely wrong, but that's all I've got... So there you have it!!!!

Part 3:

Now, i talked quite a bit about this cold front coming through bring some kind of rain with it, but what i didn't talk about was how much rain, and how much wind, and how bad it is going to be... And the big question, is it going to be anywhere close to the weekend mini hurricane? Well for now this is not going to be at all like the weekend mini hurricane... The only thing is that the models have been consistently showing the storm getting stronger just before leaving the coast... It also has a very similar form to the last storm, a low cutting down and through the country, and then heading east and really bombing out... So just keep a heads up for this storm, since it's far too early to tell what exactly is going to happen... I think that i may post a storm map of what may happen Friday or Sunday... That's it for now!!!! keep it here for the latest updates...

Part 4:

Spring fever!!!! Two words that really describe these past couple of days and the next couple of days to come!!!! Today areas south of I-80 actually reached 70+!!!! And areas north of I-80 were either close to 70 or in the mid 60's!!!! Very nice weather, once because of the warmth, two because of sun, and three because no real wind!!! From here it will only get warmer!!!! Tomorrow most areas south of VT, NH, and ME will probably hit 70 or more and by Saturday the temperatures will probably reach around 70 for the whole northeast, and south of I-80 yes, may get close to 80!!!!!!! Record breaking high temperatures are very likely!!!! That's it from here... Enjoy this warm weather...

Part 5:

Yes, it is time for the Westport Weather!!!! And after a very rough early half of the week, hopefully most of you are at least starting to get back to normal... I know my house lost power again today because they had to move a tree, and i know some house who just don't have power since Saturday!!!! Finally we had ALL WESTPORT PUBLIC SCHOOL OPEN today, meanwhile Greenwich decided to close school for the rest of the week! Enough about the storm, which by the way i will probably talk about for weeks to come!, let's get to the weather forecast!... Today we actually hit 70!!!! The first time of the year!!!! Tomorrow i would not be surprised if we hit 73!!!! And by Saturday i will actually use the word HOT, with temperatures reaching 75 degrees!!! Enjoy it while you can because by Sunday temperatures with drop a good 10 degrees back to 65!!! And by Monday we may have ANOTHER severe rain/wind storm which will last into Tuesday... We must pray for NO MORE STORMS like our recent weekend one!!! If it is anywhere close to the weekend storm, we may find more school problems!!!! Well that's it for now, after Sunday don't expect temperatures to be too warm!!!! Keep it tune here, and enjoy the warm weather while you can!!!!

Part 6:

Finally we I have the scary, destructive, and all around crazy photos and videos from the storm!!!! Hope you enjoy...
(all pictures were taken in Westport, CT)





Believe it or not that is me behind those massive roots!!!





Weather Forecast:

PS: More photos coming soon... Many More!!!



-Scott Pecoriello