Norlun trough; rare, and heavy...

The name for this is a Norlun trough... What's that? Quite interesting actually, the Norlun trough was named after the two meteorologists who discovered it. Its basically an intense increase in snowfall over an area no more than 100 miles in width. Where this sets up can't be told until it actually happens which makes this even more interesting! Listening to other meteorologists who have much more experience than I do, they say these tend to stall around and they've seen it produce anywhere from 2 inches to 5 inches to over a foot of snow in an extremely narrow area, and narrow time frame... So what's the snowfall forecast? Well there are some real changes in my map from yesterday, so here it is... North of my little dash line will be where lake enhanced snow is which is why I put 5-8+ there... In our area, looks like we will be the target, I say 5-8 inches... But keep in mind, the snow could set up somewhere else and rip us off, it could just pass over us quickly, or it could stall out over our area and we could see even more than 8 inches... As far as school cancellations go, I say a minimal early dismissal for sure for most people with the exception of the City. By the way south of the city seems to get more of the 3-5 inch range, of course keeping in mind what I said, that could really change... Now if not an early dismissal, I would not be totally shocked to hear school was cancelled for some... The snow does seem to start really late tonight, or you could say really early tomorrow morning, somewhere around the 3 AM 4 AM time period. So here's the map... ENJOY!



Expect lots of updates tomorrow!!!!
-Scott Pecoriello