1. Julia is done, just a sea storm moving to the north... Amazingly Karls moisture is still hitting mexico, even parts of texas...
2. Igor is still on track to my last forecast yesterday... The difference is it should hit as just a moderate to weak category 2 storm, but still, similar damage is expected to my last forecast...
3. The next storm, lisa to be, could develop as early as tomorrow, or as late as mid to late week... The earlier it develops the more likely the storm is to turn north and maybe out to sea even though even the models that bring it north eventually turn it back to the west and some to the southwest so it looks to become a threat either way, but who knows whats going to happen once past the islands, or how close it gets to the islands... There it could still turn out to sea... But then again it could hit land...
4. For the last week now models have been very consistent with a gulf coast storm, better yet a hurricane... Yes we may even have Matthew on our hands come next weekend... Where the models point the storm will go may be catastrophic...
5. Finally, the left over moisture in karl may actually become a storm... Now the chances of it are low, but whether it becomes a depression or not, rain along with some gusty wind is likely, but flooding will be the main issue for sections of mexico and texas...
-scott pecoriello
