Well, my forecast unfortunately continues to shift east, putting it dangerously close to Bermuda... For this not to be a certain death storm, every person on that island needs to be evacuated starting tomorrow, as well as have Hurricane Warnings posted all over the Bermuda Island area... It's hard for me to explain the conditions that Bermuda will feel from Saturday night through Monday... The storm will hover over the area for potentially 48 hours, that in reality will feel like a week... The coastline will be covered by ocean, probably as far inland as a half a mile or so before elevation climbs... Rainfall totals will be upward of 5 or 6 inches... probably up to 8... at this point I cannot be sure though... Winds sustained at potentially 120 or 125 mph with gusts close to 160 mph... Devastating damage will occur... Nearly all older (pre-1994) mobile homes will be destroyed. Most newer mobile homes will sustain severe damage with potential for complete roof failure and wall collapse. Poorly constructed frame homes can be destroyed by the removal of the roof and exterior walls. Unprotected windows will be broken by flying debris. Well-built frame homes can experience major damage involving the removal of roof decking and gable ends. There will be a high percentage of roof covering and siding damage to apartment buildings and industrial buildings. Isolated structural damage to wood or steel framing can occur. Complete failure of older metal buildings is possible, and older unreinforced masonry buildings can collapse. Numerous windows will be blown out of high-rise buildings resulting in falling glass, which will pose a threat for days to weeks after the storm. As I stated before, the storm surge will be incredible... Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads. Electricity and water will be unavailable for several days to a few weeks after the storm passes. Bermuda will basically be cut of from the rest of the world and become no mans land for potentially several days to a week... So as you can see, this storm is nothing to joke about... I fear the worst for Bermuda, which at this point, would make the island a living hell...
As if Igor weren't enough to be stressed about, Karl will slam Mexico maybe sometime tomorrow... I'm not so up to date with Karl, as I have been focusing more on Igor, Julia, and something later down the road... Last I checked Karl was a category 1 storm, with the potential to become a category 2 or maybe even a weak category 3 hurricane before making landfall... Mexico will also be absolutely devastated by this storm... Direct impact will actually most likely be better than when it moves inland, or maybe just equal... Winds will be over 100 mph where it makes landfall a good 300 to 500+ miles south of Texas... Even that far south Texas will still feel affects from this storm... Scattered showers with gusty winds will begin to be felt tomorrow, but conditions will improve shortly.... Once Karl is done ripping apart the coastline, he will move into the mountain area where he will sit and destroy... This storm will certainly go down in history... Floods, floods, floods!!! Mountains will literally begin to fall apart (Really bad mud slides). Karl could take a week to be all set and done...
Julia will be a nothing... At one point though it reached a weak category 4 status with Igor being category 4 at the same time, which made it go down in history, for that was only the second time that has ever happened... Julia will continue to weaken, now a category 1 storm, with winds dissipating... Well later down the road Julia will get wrapped right into Igor as they both die over seas...
LISA?!?! Do we really need another storm?...
Here we have all three, and the fourth concerned area... Just look at Igor... Massive... But trust me the east coast wont be so lucky for too much longer unfortunately, and same goes for the gulf coast... Take a look at where some of the most recent models are taking what looks to be the future Lisa...
Remember... Keep it here for the latest, and be safe...
-Scott Pecoriello
