As mentioned in the title, west of New London, Suffolk County and west of Rhode Island and the general Boston area, are in the clear... Meaning the most you are going to get is some showers from time to time with winds no higher than 30 mph, maybe a period of rain... So my house is in the clear... For others though, Earl is still a strong storm with top winds around 80 mph gusting to about 100 mph... The problem is this wind field and rain field are expanding making conditions very bad across eastern MA, RI, and the eastern portions of long island and CT where sustained winds could be around 40-60 mph with winds 60- 75 or maybe 80 closer to the cape and islands... Keep in mind these are sustained winds, so gusts could be 55-75 with gusts 75-90 or maybe nearing 100 mph closer to the cape and islands... Rainfall will likely exceed 3 inches with the highest rainfall upward of 4 or 5 inches... Back the NYC, western CT area, the tropical storm watches have now been lifting so tropical storm conditions are not expected across that area... So watch out, because the worst for many is still yet to come...
Moving right along here, onto new business... Believe me as disappointed as I am about Earl missing me, and trust me I am disappointed, I can't be too upset because there is just too much action in the Atlantic to be disappointed about hurricanes missing you... So here it is... We have Fiona... Now countinueing on this weakening trend should die out completely after giving minamal tropical storm conditions to the Bermuda Island... Really just more of a nuisance... What's up with Gaston?!? Well first TD 8, then TS gaston, then back to a TD, and now so weak that it is being considered a tropical rainstorm... So why is the NHC holding onto this storm and not just saying yeah it's done, short lived??? Well they're worried about this storm really regaining quite a bit of strength, in fact, potentially a hurricane by next week... Here's something scary, look at one of the worldwide models last night (can't remember exactly which one) it showed a massive hurricane ripping through the islands of the carribean before destroying the Bahamas and making some sort of dramatic landfall in miami, then making the classic Katrina move and cutting into the above average warm waters of the gulf where the model showed a category 5 hurricane sitting and waiting to kill... Now before I freak everyone out, keep in mind this storm is weeks away from coming near any type of land, and it may not even regain strength for all we know... Also this track could be totally and completely wrong... So loads of uncertainty... And if that wasn't enough, a monster wave just left the African coast a couple of days ago and could pose yet another threat the u.s....
As always, i'll be sure to keep you updated...
-Scott Pecoriello