Will it ever snow?!

Good morning folks! Another tough night of watching model runs. The last few runs of the OP models have shown very few storms, but plenty of cold air, which is often a killer for snow lovers. Better then warmth though... right?

The big question on everyones mind is, when is it going to snow?! Unfortunately I don't think anyone has an answer to that question at this point. So far November and December have been bleak. Shots of cold and warm weather, but neither sustained. A very frustrating pattern where the storms arrive just in time for the warm air to be in place, thus the lack of snow. Why is this? Well we can thank a lot of variables. Our teleconnections have been absolutely horrendous, with the exception of the PNA. Nothing but positive readings on the AO and NAO. Will that change though? What will it take to shoot that NAO down to some good negative readings? Well, I guess we'll discuss the MJO.

I am more pleased with the MJO then I have been recently. Still not happy, but not angry anymore. The MJO seems to have been endlessly wondering in octets 4 and 5. Octets that are VERY bad for the cold and snow here in the Northeastern United States. Where do they seem to be heading now? Well according to a lot of our models, the MJO is heading into octets 6 and 7. That's for sure right now. Better for snow? Maybe, but still not good. The question after that is, do we see the MJO go into octets 8 and then 1 and 2 (very good for the cold and snow). Right now it is unclear in my opinion. We have seen models try and show that happening, but I am not sold on it like others are. I remain skeptical. All I will say though, is that if you are a snow lover you better be hoping that the MJO heads into octets 8, 1, and 2, because that will influence our teleconnections and eventually our entire pattern. Hopefully that will become more clear over the next few days.

Just a quick reminder for those who want to make a comment. If you don't have something respectful or nice to say about this blog, then please just refrain from saying it completely. Just a few bad comments on here lately. To the people that continue to be respectful and support me thank you very much! The snow will come soon!

That's it for now. Very short update this morning from the beach in Turks and Caicos! Right now it is nothing but sunshine with temperatures well into the mid 80's. Anyways enjoy the weather where you are, and hopefully we'll see some changes soon for those of you who want some! Have a great day!

-Scott Pecoriello