After an extremely long break I hope to finally begin updating again! Well since we're entering the beginning of August, things should become very active on this page, as well as in the Atlantic Basin. The next 2 months are typically the most active parts of hurricane season, and there are already signs of that. This time of the year a line of storms string off the African coast into the warm waters of the Atlantic, where they form into some of the strongest storms ever seen! These hurricane pose the biggest threat to life and property across both the carribean islands and the United States. I like to call this the "African Train Parade". And it's already begun!
I am confident that by this afternoon we will have a tropical depression about 200 miles east of the Lesser Antillie islands. Shortly after, this TD should become TS Emily. Emily should remain at tropical storm status as it clips the Lesser Antillies, Puerto Rico, Jamaca, the Dominican Rep. and potentially eastern sections of Cuba. As of now I see flooding rains and gusty winds, but nothing disastrous. It's once turning northward towards FL and the Bahamas where I have my concerns. Not only does it threaten both of those areas, but it may also strengthen into a hurricane at that point. There is a good chance it goes just inbetween both the Bahamas and FL, with the possiblitly of a landfall in either place. After that it may very well skim the entire east coast up to NC, where at this point I would say it will take a curve east, and head out to sea, but even that is up in the air at this point. Eastern FL, and the Bahamas should be most concerned at this point.
That's all for now, expect another update on both the tropics, and severe weather around 2:00 pm today!
-Scott Pecoriello
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