Yes I am updating at 1:30 am for what is now finally TS Emily! The latest satellite and infared images show very good organization with the storm. As I type, the northern Lesser Antillies are being pumbled by strong gusty winds, and unbelievable rain. Now that it has a concentrated center of circulation, there is a good possibility that some rather rapid intensification takes place. Emily should approach Hispaniola by sometime Wednesday, and it would not surpise me if it was a cat. 1 already. Now this is where everything is determined. If Emily is able to pass over extreme western Hati and extreme eastern Cuba, the system will stay in tact enough to re-intensify, and probably become a cat. 2 or even a very weak cat. 3. But if it passes directly over either island, it is likely to fall apart and either become or remain a TS, or just completely die off. Both are a possibility as of now, which has everyone on the east coast worried. It means the difference between scattered showers and windy conditions, and a full blown major hurricane. Right now southeastern FL should have the most concern. That's all for now.
-Scott Pecoriello
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