The storm was certainly both over exaggerated, and underestimated... East of NYC was supposed to get the rain much worse then we did, even though we still did get plenty of rain... Rainfall and some storm forecasts were well over exaggerated as well... What was not over exaggerated, but really underestimated were without a doubt the wind... Last night I thought my house was going to blow over from the winds where gusts certainly reached past 60 mph at times... Not only that, but the original forecast for the wind was only forcasted for 6-10 hours, meanwhile the wind picked up two days ago during the night time, and is still going on at my house with gusts past 45 mph... The high wind warning went in affect yesterday and ended 6 am this morning, which was a very off forecast, since winds went on howling for more than 2 days... However, I think lots of places were lucky with this storm, but maybe not with the next one...
Well some computer models show weak storms attempting to develop and either failing to do so, or just taking the weak systems off the coast... Now if the CMC or Canadian model is picking up on something then we could be in a whole lot of trouble... Last run showed a nor'easter or potentially a storm with at least some tropical characteristics hitting similar areas with a good amount of wind and rain, and then a major hurricane potentially moving up the coast for next weekend or late next week... At that point it will at least be in line with Florida... Then even before this major hurricane we have to keep an eye on the Caribbean for even more development for next week... Even if some models don't see two or three major storms coming up the east coast, the fact that they are picking up development of some kind tells us that we really have to keep an eye on a potential series of storms hitting the east coast starting as early as Mid to Early week next week...
-Scott Pecoriello
