As of 1:00 PM EDT, Hurricane Earl was a Category 3 hurricane with winds at aproximatley 125 MPH with gusts past 150 MPH... Earl is currently located just to the north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico... Reports from all the islands affected by the storm includes structural damage, flooding, and large swells coming in quickly... Many of the islands currently feeling hurricane force winds as Earl begins to slowly move away... Right now Earl is moving at 15 mph to the WNW, still strengthening and expected to become a category 4 hurricane by tomorrow, and there is a slim chance, and the chances are growing, that Earl becomes the first category 5 storm of the year! The potential is there once it gets to the NE of the bahamas, thats where the storm will at least be at its strongest point... Now from there it gets very complicated... At that point the storm will most likely be moving to the NW toward the Carolina coast... My best guess is that it comes just offshore the carolina coast and turns N before rather quickly turning NNE and then NE just south of long island and barely missing the cape and curving along the canadian coast... Now a 50 mile difference could wreck havoac along the entire east coast... Here's the specifics...
How far offshore will the storm be?
Cape Cod: 30-50 miles, 50-75 MPH, 4-8 inches
Westport CT: 80-100 miles, 25- 50 MPH, 1-2 inches
NYC: 100- 150 miles, 15- 35 MPH, .50-1 inch
Atlantic City: 80-100 miles, 25-50 MPH, 1-2 inches
Cape Hatteras: 30-50 miles, 60-80 MPH, 4-8 inches
Southeast Nova Scotia: 10-30 miles, 70-90 MPH, 10+ inches
Northeast Nova Scotia: 15-30 miles, 65-85 MPH, 8-10 inches
So you can see a 50 mile shift would be terrifying... Here's what it could be like...
Cape cod: Landfall, 80-100+ MPH, 10+ inches
Westport: 30-50 miles, 50-75 MPH, 4-8 inches
NYC: 50-100 miles, 20- 45 MPH, 1-2 inche
Atlantic city: 30-50 miles, 50-75 MPH, 4-8 inches
Cape Hatteras: Landfall, 85-100+ MPH, 10+ inches
Southeast Nova Scotia: Landfall, 75-90 MPH, 10+ inches
Northeast Nova Scotia: Landfall, 70- 85 MPH, 10+ inches
-Scott Pecoriello
